Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 16, 2020

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Mon Mar 02 22:02:28 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

"No majority" remains the most likely outcome for the pledged delegate majority. But, that's not the same thing as a contested convention. A lot of simulations involve a fairly clear plurality winner, and Bloomberg/Warren delegates could go to them on the 1st ballot. https://t.co/eclRjgkyvY — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It is close. Sanders is winning 1,570 delegates in an average simulation, Biden 1,484 delegates. Delegate plurality chances nearing 50:50 but Bernie with a slight edge. https://t.co/yQa9JLYiyl — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

We still give Klob a 20% chance of winning Minnesota! It's not totally crazy. — PolitiTweet.org

@ryangrim Ultimate flex would be a Howard Dean 2004 style win, holding the home state even after quitting.

Posted March 2, 2020 Hibernated