Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked July 28, 2020

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Thu Feb 27 04:14:23 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I may write something more longform about this once everything slows down. But it seems to me that an important question if no Democrat has a delegate *majority* is whether there are credible, competing claims to reflecting the will of the electorate. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

IDK in general the debates seem to have helped the more prepared and substantive candidates, and have provided Dems with a hedge against candidates who dominated paid media or "earned" media. There's a good argument that Democrats should have had twice as many of them. — PolitiTweet.org

Watching the candidate town halls on @CNN, hard not to conclude that @TomPerez and Democratic Party hurt their pros… https://t.co/vgESjsmFxF

Posted Feb. 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

As an edge case, suppose Candidate A has 1740 delegates and B has 1739, both short of the majority threshold (1990). However, A faded and B won the last 14 nomination contests, won the popular vote & currently leads A by 30 points in head-to-head polls. Who should be nominated? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 27, 2020 Hibernated