Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked July 28, 2020

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Wed Feb 26 17:43:01 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So generally speaking, Bloomberg is at risk of <15% in Bernie's strongest states, which is helpful to Bern since Bloom drains votes from other moderates but may get few delegates of his own. In Biden's strongest states (i.e. in the South) though, Bloomberg is usually *over* 15%. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Bloomberg's projected vote share by Super Tuesday state: MN 8% VT 9% CA 13% MA 13% CO 15% UT 15% ME 16% TX 17% TN… https://t.co/tvVbQTtJlS — PolitiTweet.org

If Bloomberg were to slip just enough to be in the 12-14.9% range in a bunch of states ⁠— say if a Biden win in SC… https://t.co/ZeJ2ImEh9I

Posted Feb. 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It would be fairly hard to engineer a polling scenario in which Bloomberg was more helpful to Bernie, in other words. Of course, polls could change before Super Tuesday. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 26, 2020 Hibernated