Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked July 15, 2020

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Thu Feb 20 05:33:55 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@joshtpm Sure, although one of the main questions is how durable his support was based on paid messaging. A lot of people who say they support him in polls also say they are not firmly decided. They may also not be particularly likely to turn out to vote. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This is good advice and the media shouldn't proclaim Bloomberg's campaign dead (or anything close) without seeing the evidence. But also it wasn't clear how alive Bloomberg's campaign was in the first place and the media may have jumped the gun in proclaiming him a frontrunner. — PolitiTweet.org

I would wait to pronounce Bloomberg's campaign dead (as so many media outlets are doing online right now). Like, ma… https://t.co/8h9azAgCLW

Posted Feb. 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@joshtpm And his *recent*, rather rapid surge (from ~9% to ~16%) looks very much like an *earned* media surge. No doubt he has a decently high floor, but reverting back even partway to his pre-Iowa numbers would be a real problem for him on Super Tuesday. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 20, 2020 Hibernated