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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked July 2, 2020

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Tue Feb 11 20:04:11 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Of course all of this is based on the model's assumptions about how the bounce will be framed. The media seems to c… https://t.co/CFiBhcUGAd — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 11, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Scenario 3: Buttigieg win. Good for Buttigieg; good for chaos. Not quite as bad for Bernie as you'd think (he'd still have like a ~30-35% chance at pledged delegate majority) because the field remains very messy and Buttigieg has a long way to go in more diverse states. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 11, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Finally, note that NH historically only produces bounces that are about half as large as IA. (NV and SC are likely… https://t.co/txIOPmuCZs — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 11, 2020 Hibernated