Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 29, 2020

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Tue Feb 11 19:57:14 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Scenario 2: Big Bernie win. This might not be *that* much different, but it would likely push Bernie >50% for a ple… https://t.co/hDuqOJ5eH6 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 11, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Scenario 1: Narrow Bernie win. This is basically what's priced into the our model right now and would be in line wi… https://t.co/NpbHd8GMKX — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 11, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Scenario 3: Buttigieg win. Good for Buttigieg; good for chaos. Not quite as bad for Bernie as you'd think (he'd still have like a ~30-35% chance at pledged delegate majority) because the field remains very messy and Buttigieg has a long way to go in more diverse states. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 11, 2020 Hibernated