Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 26, 2020

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Fri Feb 07 22:05:51 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

To repeat for like the 45th time (but tbh I'll probably repeat it 100 more times)…For each candidate, our model forecasts a range of possibilities for *delegates*, including the chance of a majority or plurality of pledged delegates. We are not forecasting the nomination per se. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Not a super long riff, but a few thoughts on Bloomberg, whose data is now easier to find in our forecast. https://t.co/xsdR8NMHXC https://t.co/PfKUzEQ2Lz — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

That matters, because we have the race ending with no one having a delegate majority ~25% of the time. We don't try to forecast who would win the nomination in those cases. https://t.co/fpGdDgNKCU — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 7, 2020 Hibernated