Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 26, 2020

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Thu Feb 06 01:13:14 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jonathanchait @Nate_Cohn The one guaranteed way (well, not guaranteed, but pretty reliable) way to get a big polling bounce is literally the one thing Bloomberg *can't* do, for now: win or overperform "expectations" on big election nights. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 6, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jonathanchait @Nate_Cohn Our model does account for his spending, as well as his recent string of endorsements. These things help him in the model, slightly. However, historically, the polls are very close to being a random walk and these things only make a marginal difference. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 6, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jonathanchait @Nate_Cohn Give me a detailed and specific scenario for how he wins a majority of pledged delegates. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 6, 2020 Hibernated