Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 26, 2020

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Thu Feb 06 00:56:17 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One thing you can say about Bloomberg: the large number of endorsements he's getting from D elected officials ought to increase one's estimate of the chances he could win *at a contested convention*. https://t.co/gOZT46mEd9 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 6, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@SethS_D ...of how one wins delegates and what the calendar looks like, you wind up being much more skeptical about his chances at a *majority*. It's sort of like an NBA team that doesn't start playing until the 2nd quarter; starting late is a BIG disadvantage. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 6, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I think people vastly underestimate how hard it is to win a *pledged delegate majority* when getting a late start. He's hoping to use Super Tuesday as a boomerang, but at that point, ~37% of delegates will already have been chosen. At a contested convention, though? ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 6, 2020 Hibernated