Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 26, 2020

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Wed Feb 05 23:58:34 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Also, after IA, the calendar goes through a real drought of Midwestern states. The only Midwestern state on Super Tuesday is MN, where Klobuchar could be an issue for Buttigieg if she's still in. — PolitiTweet.org

Unclear how the model accounts for this, but Pete really getting dogged thanks to the narrowness of his coalition.… https://t.co/tcX2fNx7uX

Posted Feb. 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

But I do think, after looking at our numbers, the story right now is *primarily* about Biden's poor performance in Iowa. That opens a lot of doors up. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Here are our odds for New Hampshire. This factors our model's guesstimates of the Iowa bounce, plus a couple of new NH polls that were out last night. Sanders: 2 in 3 (66%) Buttigieg: 1 in 5 (20%) Warren: 1 in 15 (7%) Biden 1 in 15 (6%) https://t.co/gul5ZwKQfc — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 6, 2020 Hibernated