Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 26, 2020

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Wed Feb 05 23:26:53 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@UpshotNYT Biden's chances of a majority fell in half, from 43 percent to 21 percent. Everyone else benefited from that. Sanders is now the most likely nominee at 37 precent. Buttigieg's odds also improved, though by less than you'd think (he needs to get a bounce in more diverse states). https://t.co/wcWZQcOcLo — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Our model is updated, using @UpshotNYT probabilistic forecasts of Iowa. https://t.co/JDz2dZ8bqR — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@UpshotNYT Warren's chances also improved. With Biden's chances falling, the reaction to Bernie's Iowa performance a bit uncertain, Buttigieg rising but not necessarily able to translate it into broader gains, she has a tenable position. And the chance of NO majority is way up: 27%. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 5, 2020 Hibernated