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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 26, 2020

Created

Wed Feb 05 22:13:54 +0000 2020

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205

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9

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

With "only" 14% of precincts remaining, though, there is no longer that much runway to close even small deficits. So we await The Needle. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Interestingly, both the state delegate equivalent numbers *and* the final expression numbers slightly tightened in this batch, but in opposite directions: Sanders slightly closed the gap on SDEs (delegates), Buttigieg slightly closed the gap on final expression (popular vote). — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This looks like the corrected Iowa state delegate equivalent numbers: Buttigieg 26.7 Sanders 25.4 Warren 18.3 Bide… https://t.co/RZDjnN7q1H

Posted Feb. 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

https://t.co/11leSuTACL We will have a 538 model update for you soon. In ~45-60 minutes if everything goes smoothly. (Which, given how this week has gone, it might not.) — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Pete Buttigieg is on track to win the Iowa caucus, according to our estimates https://t.co/DyLroWLBId

Posted Feb. 5, 2020 Hibernated

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