Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 18, 2020

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Wed Feb 05 18:33:45 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I did a quick survey of major media outlets (ones that are DNC debate sponsors) and although it varies from outlet to outlet, on average about ~80% of the emphasis in articles on Iowa results is on state delegate equivalents, versus ~20% on the popular vote measures. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@DKarol @ylelkes Yeah I don't buy that either candidates were especially clustered this year, nor that this has anything much to do with turnout. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I personally think it should be much closer to even and that "split winners" is the right interpretation but as an empirical matter, it's mostly being covered as a Buttigieg win (if current results hold). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 5, 2020 Hibernated