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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 18, 2020

Created

Wed Feb 05 14:50:25 +0000 2020

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503

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36

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The irony here is that people often get upset when the media hedges/downplays expectations for their guy (Sanders fans no different than anyone else in this regard). But there are sometimes times when lower expectations are helpful, especially in the early-stage primaries. 5/5 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Bernie's actual performance—which will probably still involve him winning the most votes!—was right in line with smart, empirically-driven expectations. It disappointed only relative to stylized, exaggerated expectations that ignored uncertainty/ambiguity in the data. 4/5 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

*For the time being* it seems possible that Iowa plays a fairly large role in this story and the rise/presence of Buttigieg and Klobuchar in Iowa hurt Biden a lot among moderates. (They also hurt Warren among college-educated voters.) — PolitiTweet.org

David Byler @databyler

If Biden loses, correctly diagnosing why will prob be a challenge for media world bc there are a lot of things th… https://t.co/wgPl0RU2sZ

Posted Feb. 5, 2020 Hibernated

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