Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 18, 2020

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Tue Feb 04 23:12:39 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@databyler I don't think that quite works. Warren was a co-frontrunner in the polls at one point, which Rubio never became. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 4, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I don't really understand the argument that Iowa shouldn't have published the data it has. If they knew it might be highly unrepresentative, that might be one thing, but from all accounts it's from a fairly representative set of precincts/counties. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 4, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I mean, it's not lucky... it's sort of baked in, in fact. Buttigieg is the sort of candidate you're liable to get if Iowa and New Hampshire vote first. But Warren and Sanders are also pretty good fits for the IA+NH combo, and they benefit from it on balance. — PolitiTweet.org

just massively lucky for biden/warren/sanders that the candidate who won the fresh face lane in IA + NH has not sho… https://t.co/uEhlDlny6N

Posted Feb. 4, 2020 Hibernated