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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 18, 2020

Created

Tue Feb 04 21:48:53 +0000 2020

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225

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23

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

ThE IoWa LiVeBloG Is BaCk AgAiN https://t.co/43SnCsgxeN — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 4, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Also, state delegate equivalents are dumb and unnecessary. But, it's the traditional way that the media declares winners, and just reading the tea leaves, it feels like that's roughly a toss-up whereas Bernie is the favorite in the other two counts. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 4, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Before we know anything about the results, keep in mind that a situation like this makes it hard for our model to predict what the Iowa bounce will be. We'll turn it on at some point once results are final-ish. But we may really need to wait for post-IA polls for it to stabilize. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 4, 2020 Hibernated

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