Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 18, 2020

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Tue Feb 04 15:16:55 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

That probably does materially increase the chance of a contested convention. But it's not an obvious path to a *Bloomberg* nomination. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 4, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If you held Super Tuesday today, Bloomberg probably would get over 15% in some states/districts, and accumulate a few dozen delegates. Maybe more than that... 100 or 150 out of the ~1350 delegate available. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 4, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@MattGrossmann @EricLevitz @karpmj @mattyglesias Yeah, this is the one point on which we do seem to have a fair amount of data -- it's the only data of any kind that the state party has officially released! -- and in fact there seems to be a reasonable amount of consensus around what turnout was. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 4, 2020 Hibernated