Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 18, 2020

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Tue Feb 04 06:31:35 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Also, campaigns are more likely to have precinct captains/volunteers at precincts where they're doing well, which would unavoidably introduce some bias even if they're reporting all the data they *do* have honestly. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 4, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If you assume that self-reported results have a bias analogous to when campaigns release internal polls -- which I don't know is the correct assumption but I can't think of a better one? -- this would imply a tossup between Sanders and Buttiegieg. — PolitiTweet.org

Bernie Sanders campaign releases internal reporting numbers they say “represent the results from nearly 40 percent… https://t.co/WPz9mLvdVo

Posted Feb. 4, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

tbh it might be that Bernie is the favorite for the first alignment and Buttiegieg for state delegate equivalents, as Sanders's data shows a reasonably wide spread in those numbers — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 4, 2020 Hibernated