Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 18, 2020

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Mon Feb 03 19:23:27 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Sanders has emerged with a slightly clearer lead over Biden with the final few polls (although technically we're still holding the model open until 3pm). Still think people are underestimating the uncertainty a bit and neither a Buttigieg or Warren win would be at all shocking. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 3, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Iowa caucus winning chances: Sanders: 2 in 5 (41%) Biden: 1 in 3 (32%) Buttigieg: 1 in 7 (14%) Warren: 1 in 10 (10%) Klobuchar: 1 in 40 (2%) https://t.co/Q2hBgpjs39 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 3, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Note that we're forecasting the popular vote after realignment and not *state delegate equivalents*. State delegate equivalents may help the moderates more than Sanders and Warren. Here's more about what that all means: https://t.co/KV8f95Sj1W — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 3, 2020 Hibernated