Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 18, 2020

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Mon Feb 03 04:16:28 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

...He should have a good ground game. And he reportedly does well in rural areas, where you get more bang for your buck in terms of delegates. Purely as an Iowa play—our model is very skeptical re: his post Iowa path—he may be a bit overlooked. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 3, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Buttigieg has declined both week-over-week and month-over-month. Nonetheless, he's not *that* far behind and is probably a bit unlucky that no poll as shown him with the lead. The mechanics of the caucus potentially also favor him. He does well in 2nd choice numbers... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 3, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Warren is actually UP a bit month-over-month and week over week. Sanders's surge has really worked against her, though, in that he should be comfortably >15% in most precincts, denying her a chance to pick up many Sanders votes upon realignment, for whom she's often a 2nd choice. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 3, 2020 Hibernated