Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 18, 2020

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Sun Feb 02 20:25:04 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

FWIW, we're going to remove YouGov's poll today from our averages. What they published is really a MRP model, not a… https://t.co/8oxc09SDz0 — PolitiTweet.org

Iowa polling average with YouGov + DFP/Civiqs added, with comparison to one week ago (last Sunday). Sanders 22.4 (… https://t.co/PSUYM6XRNy

Posted Feb. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias We can't use nonpublic data in the model. (If it had been officially published first and then taken down, that's a weird edge case that we might have an internal argument about, but it was never published.) Really curious about how strongly the model might have reacted to it. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This would probably be quite unpopular and would help Democrats at the 2022 midterms. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 2, 2020 Hibernated