Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 4, 2020

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Sat Feb 01 21:29:38 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

...there's a clear pattern of someone rising or falling across the final ~2 weeks. Our model has been pretty conservative about Klobuchar so far but she's probably closest to showing this pattern and a highly-rated poll showing her gaining could make it more aggressive. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 1, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'd keep in mind that there's actually been quite a bit of Iowa polling, much of it from high-quality firms. So these polls will matter in our forecasts/average, but not as much as if there had been a total dearth of polling. The most consequential thing would be if... (cont.) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 1, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

p.s. I don't know what any of these polls say and haven't tried to find out, so please don't take anything I've said on here as a hint. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 1, 2020 Hibernated