Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 29, 2020

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Thu Jan 30 17:06:53 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I mostly think it's too soon to look at general election polls but sort of interesting that Biden doesn't have as much of a national poll vs swing state gap as the other candidates. — PolitiTweet.org

In today's Crystal Ball, @AlanIAbramowitz compares Sanders and Biden v. Trump in swing states, based on current Rea… https://t.co/SMavJTUe15

Posted Jan. 30, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Smaller bounces would be favorable for Biden, who stands more to lose than to gain from the early states. It would be fairly neutral for Bernie. It would be bad for any candidate other than those 2. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 30, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's 4 days before Iowa. If you're planning to say after the someone wraps up the nomination in a few months that it was *obvious all along* how the Dem primary was going to unfold, please use this thread to state your prediction on who wins and their rough path to victory. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 30, 2020 Hibernated