Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 28, 2020

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Wed Jan 29 21:09:08 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

His mustache is shaped like his congressional district. — PolitiTweet.org

I hope Eliot Engel's participation in the news draws attention to his vintage early 20th century mustache https://t.co/RlWHQcp0vL

Posted Jan. 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm honest to god not trying to be snarky but (i) there *probably will* be a surprise or two in Iowa (ii) it's very probably fruitless to predict what the surprises will be. — PolitiTweet.org

New Monmouth IOWA poll: Biden 23, Sanders 21, Buttigieg 16, Warren 15, Klobuchar 10. My against the grain predicti… https://t.co/Y2YjBi3iRA

Posted Jan. 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I also think some of the hype around Bloomberg (14% chance of winning the nomination at prediction markets?!?!) reflects non-rigorous thinking around how primaries work. — PolitiTweet.org

There are a few overlapping interpretations of this: 1) Bloomberg is hard to model because there isn't any precede… https://t.co/wQzkz3PkDF

Posted Jan. 29, 2020 Hibernated