Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 28, 2020

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Wed Jan 29 15:34:18 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm being a bit of a pedant (hey what's new?!?) but the 3 ways of counting the Iowa vote (first preference, popular vote after realignment, state delegate equivalents) are all *official* measures that will be published simultaneously on caucus night and are sanctioned by the DNC. — PolitiTweet.org

With a few days to go, the possibility of a split verdict in Iowa — one candidate wins the official “state delegate… https://t.co/zlLy2rVWar

Posted Jan. 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I feel like there continues to be a little bit of a disconnect between the conventional wisdom on Iowa, which has focused on Sanders's gains there—he has gained!—and the polls, about equal numbers of which show Sanders and Biden leading and otherwise a very close/uncertain race. — PolitiTweet.org

Our Iowa polling average after three new Iowa polls this AM: Sanders 22.3 Biden 21.8 Buttigieg 16.3 Warren 13.9 Kl… https://t.co/aF8QUj2orO

Posted Jan. 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

State delegate equivalents is the *traditional* measure and therefore might receive a bit more attention from the networks. It's also the one that will ultimately be used to assign DNC delegates. But Iowa isn't really about the delegates. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 29, 2020 Hibernated