Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 28, 2020

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Tue Jan 28 00:05:42 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

22% vs. 15% might not SEEM like a big difference, but it's near an inflection point. With 22% in a multi-candidate race, you can finish 1st/2nd in states and accumulate plenty of delegates. At 15% (where e.g. Warren is now) you're sort of treading water instead. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I do think it's worth noting that Sanders's story is, in many respects, a comeback story. He was polling at ~15% nationally and in early states for much of the summer and fall, which is not that great a position for a candidate with 100% name recognition. But he's at ~22% now… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Don't quite get why Biden hasn't hit Sanders with a fairly straightforward "Bernie is too far left" set of arguments. It might work—lots of Ds say they want a more moderate nominee and/or think a moderate is more electable. It might not. But if not... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 28, 2020 Hibernated