Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 28, 2020

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Mon Jan 27 21:09:46 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So... this gets complicated. Our model predicts the Iowa bounce based both on a (1) candidate's vote share, and (2)… https://t.co/BdtJTHKuGD — PolitiTweet.org

@NateSilver538 is there any way to factor in that there may be three separate "winners", with the three stages or m… https://t.co/V3lAuTHsGC

Posted Jan. 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One technical thing re: our model in Iowa: On average, our model has whoever wins IA getting a fairly large bounc… https://t.co/cQpmM3ltP7 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

But for the *winner bonus*, we'll divide credit based on the 3 metrics that Iowa will report, namely: a) the init… https://t.co/tb8ldgH6zd — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 27, 2020 Hibernated