Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 28, 2020

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Sun Jan 26 23:16:12 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Bernie has emerged with the polling lead in NH but it's much murkier in IA, where he and Biden are essentially tied and Buttigieg remains *very* competitive. Warren has perhaps slipped a bit, but almost none of the polling postdates the DMR endorsement. https://t.co/xB4551dYSc https://t.co/JSqVZ0UFmL — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Here's kind of a fun/funky map. This is who our model thinks would win every state **in a Sanders-Biden race that was tied nationally**. (Note: they are not tied nationally now and there are still other candidates, etc., etc.) Sanders = dark blue, Biden = light blue. https://t.co/2fUNrYxu63 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I am skeptical about his ability to win beyond IA/NH—and more importantly, our model is skeptical—but purely in terms of the conversation around the first two states, Buttigieg seems to have been written out of the narrative in a way that isn't really warranted. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 26, 2020 Hibernated