Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 21, 2020

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Sat Jan 18 20:53:32 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

We're halfway thru the NBA season, so as promised, a quarterly check-in of how our new NBA metric (RAPTOR) is performing vs. Vegas. It's good news for RAPTOR, which remains on pace to have more accurate team win projections than Vegas. We're pretty excited about this. 🦖🦖🦖 https://t.co/gIKpg9ISrP — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One challenge is that a lot of the polls released since the debate happen to have strong house effects. Once you account for those, the picture gets a little clearer. Still, there's not a clear story yet and we could use more data. https://t.co/2Uzn0yTXDc — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 18, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The Lakers, which RAPTOR has come around on but we were bearish on in the preseason, remain our big Achilles' heel. Still, as you can see above—which sorts teams by how much our projections differed from Vegas—RAPTOR is winning most of its big "bets" (OKC, SAS, NYK, MEM, etc.) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 18, 2020 Hibernated