Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 21, 2020

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Tue Jan 14 20:21:40 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

A lot of the analysis about Warren's strategy re: Sanders seems obtuse. She trails him. A lot of their supporters overlap. There are 3 weeks to IA. So that gives her some real incentives to attack. Of course there are also risks, any one line of attack could be ill-advised, etc. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 14, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Spoiler: they didn't actually change that much. And the punditry is generally overrating the impact that individual polls have on the odds. But, Biden winning IA and/or NH is a very real possibility. He's essentially a co-favorite in each state. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 14, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@ForecasterEnten Most likely because 1) She felt like she'd made her point, planted a seed in voters' heads, and the media would pick up the story from there, etc. Alternatively: 2) It didn't go over as well as she'd hoped. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 14, 2020 Hibernated