Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 21, 2020

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Mon Jan 13 20:35:17 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

…Warren is down to 18% in this poll from 25% in the previous RKM poll. But the previous poll was taken in mid-October, which was the height of her bounce nationally. In fact this poll slightly *helped* Warren in our NH average since it's better than more recent NH polls for her. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 13, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Minor pet peeve: media organizations sometimes put too much emphasis on the trendline in their polls, without providing context for when the prior polls were conducted. This NH poll, which has a rather negative headline for Warren, is a good example… https://t.co/DhWlfpFoQR — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 13, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Quite a bit of new data today, including new IA and NH polls, and here's how the numbers have changed since Friday: Majority chances: Biden 39% (+2%) Sanders 22% (-2%) NO MAJORITY 16% (+2%) Warren 13% (—) Buttigieg 9% (-1%) https://t.co/JDz2dZ8bqR — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 13, 2020 Hibernated