Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 15, 2020

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Thu Jan 09 16:16:27 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It assumes he'd win Iowa and get a fairly big bounce from that; if he fails to win Iowa, his chances are pretty negligible. — PolitiTweet.org

Wow! My initial (cursory and likely uninformed) take is to wonder how Buttigieg could rack up delegates given that… https://t.co/i618qEY8H0

Posted Jan. 9, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This does not yet account for the Monmouth NH poll. We'll of course be updating the model as new data comes in. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 9, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The bounces are reallly important here. Without them, it would basically be a 1.5-man race. (Biden with a little Sanders thrown in.) But Iowa opens things up. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 9, 2020 Hibernated