Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 11, 2020

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Wed Jan 08 15:50:23 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jeffhauser Right that looks like Warren treading water for several weeks, as I said. The gains in the YouGov poll (if confirmed by other polls) are more recent. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 8, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jeffhauser @ewarren @PeteButtigieg Notwithstanding that this is just one poll, wouldn't the data be consistent with that interpretation? i.e. Warren was treading water for several weeks during the "wine caves" news cycles, and now she's gaining again having moved on to other messages? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 8, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jeffhauser Now, if you wanna argue that Warren softened up Buttigieg's support without helping herself, and *now* she's returning to bolster her own numbers, that's a more plausible story. But the "wine cave" period is associated with Bernie + Biden gaining, Pete falling, Warren flat. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 8, 2020 Hibernated