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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 11, 2020

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Sun Jan 05 22:59:53 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The bounces in the 2016 Democratic primary were not very large, i.e. Sanders didn't gain that much from winning NH, or Clinton from her wins in NV/SC. However, bounces can be larger in multi-candidate races where public opinion is less stable and voters behave more tactically. — PolitiTweet.org

Matt Grossmann @MattGrossmann

In 2016, Sanders ~tied IA & handily won NH & it made almost no difference nationally. In 2004 & 2008, IA made a lot… https://t.…

Posted Jan. 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Susan_Hennessey I think it depends on which news outlets you're talking about. Clearly there were strains of coverage that downplayed how different Trump might be from other presidents. But there were others that predicted very serious consequences. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Interesting. A bit like the AOC endorsement of Bernie, it comes at a time when Warren was starting to be written off / taken for granted despite not really being too far out of the running. — PolitiTweet.org

Julián Castro @JulianCastro

Today I'm proud to endorse @ewarren for president. Elizabeth and I share a vision of America where everyone counts… https://t.co/JcQmsyuvZi

Posted Jan. 6, 2020 Hibernated