Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 11, 2020

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Sun Jan 05 22:31:48 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Susan_Hennessey IDK, I think the pre-election consensus among liberals was that a Trump presidency would have very serious consequences. And actual attempts to envision what the headlines might look like during his presidency resulted in stuff like this: https://t.co/MFS2C2duL5 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

p.s. This is just going by delegates with a bouns for the early states, which was determined empirically based on how big the bounces they tend to produce are. Historically, Iowa produces bounces about 2x larger than NH, and NH about 2x larger than other early states (NV/SC). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Susan_Hennessey I think it depends on which news outlets you're talking about. Clearly there were strains of coverage that downplayed how different Trump might be from other presidents. But there were others that predicted very serious consequences. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 5, 2020 Hibernated