Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 11, 2020

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Sun Jan 05 21:08:20 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There is (especially post--2016) a lot of room to debate about how much this really matters, but the moderate establishment starting to line up behind Biden in a way it hadn't really earlier in the campaign. — PolitiTweet.org

NEW: a trio of swing state Dems, Reps. @ConorLambPA, @ElaineLuriaVA and @RepHoulahan, are endorsing @JoeBiden. Come… https://t.co/086LltSD6Y

Posted Jan. 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Here's what our model thinks the most important dates on the primary calendar are: 1. Super Tuesday (Mar. 3) 2. Iowa 3. Apr. 28: NY+PA+MD+DE+RI+CT 4. Mar. 17: FL+OH+IL+AZ 5. New Hampshire 6. Mar. 10: MI+MO+MS+WA+ID+ND 7 (tie). Nevada 7. South Carolina 7. June 2: NJ+MT+NM+SD+DC — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

p.s. This is just going by delegates with a bouns for the early states, which was determined empirically based on how big the bounces they tend to produce are. Historically, Iowa produces bounces about 2x larger than NH, and NH about 2x larger than other early states (NV/SC). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 5, 2020 Hibernated