Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 11, 2020

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Sun Jan 05 17:10:18 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

NH polling average with YouGov: Sanders 21.3 (+3.3) Biden 21.1 (+2.9) Warren 14.4 (+0.5) Buttigieg 13.7 (-1.1) Klobuchar 4.9 (+0.9) https://t.co/nRWOEjafiW https://t.co/9lxFHEJQkI — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Note that YouGov generally has mediocre numbers for Biden & stronger numbers for Warren & Buttigieg relative to other pollsters, so that affects how our average interprets this poll. Basically, it sees it as good news for both Bernie and Biden relative to the others. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Here's what our model thinks the most important dates on the primary calendar are: 1. Super Tuesday (Mar. 3) 2. Iowa 3. Apr. 28: NY+PA+MD+DE+RI+CT 4. Mar. 17: FL+OH+IL+AZ 5. New Hampshire 6. Mar. 10: MI+MO+MS+WA+ID+ND 7 (tie). Nevada 7. South Carolina 7. June 2: NJ+MT+NM+SD+DC — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 5, 2020 Hibernated