Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 11, 2020

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Mon Dec 30 22:22:32 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@NickRiccardi @ForecasterEnten IDK but it's usually pretty reliable that young people vote don't vote early; Sanders gained a lot on Clinton post election night in 2016 in CA. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 30, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@ForecasterEnten Winning states is kind of important in terms of the bounce you get! Though California kind of a weird case since it might take a long time to declare a winner. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 30, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@dandrezner @ForecasterEnten Pre-Iowa the polls are pretty much a random walk but once people actually start voting...winning states and/or overperforming expectations will still usually produce a bounce. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 30, 2019 Hibernated