Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 11, 2020

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Fri Dec 27 00:49:30 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jbview @joshtpm There's also a subtle difference here between being *underrated* and *overlooked*. I think if you had pinned the average journalist down and asked for a probability on what Bernie's chances were, it might have been a fairly reasonable estimate. But he wasn't a point of emphasis. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 27, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jbview @joshtpm I mean Warren's chances rose as high as ~50% in prediction markets which seemed a bit insane given where she was by objective metrics. But by the same token she might be a hair underrated now (the objective metrics aren't so bad). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 27, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@joshtpm @jbview I don't think the ceiling thing is particularly borne out by the polling but it's also not a question that's been put to the test because he's never really been perceived as a frontrunner. Warren did get the frontrunner treatment for a month or so and it didn't go super great. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 27, 2019 Hibernated