Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 6, 2020

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Thu Dec 19 03:41:39 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

My guess is that most of these Dems were fairly agnostic toward the political consequences. Which isn't the same thing as loving the situation. But I doubt the process would have moved as quickly as Pelosi moved it if they thought it was an obvious political loser. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 19, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There were plenty of conceivable political advantages. Impeachment is decently popular; they avoid a primary challenge; they avoid a failed impeachment that would make Dems look really bad; they can say they're standing up for principle, which is something voters might like! — PolitiTweet.org

There was no conceivable political advantage for the 30 or so newly-elected Ds from districts @realDonaldTrump carr… https://t.co/7ZlEEs61i2

Posted Dec. 19, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Maybe but another way to read the situation is that impeachment was only lukewarmly popular even for an unpopular president (Trump) who engaged in conduct the public thinks is quite bad, so impeaching a president for frivolous reasons could be highly unpopular, deterring its use. — PolitiTweet.org

From here on out, most Presidents will now get impeached when the opposite party holds the House. This is a new po… https://t.co/uYtKZyZl7f

Posted Dec. 19, 2019 Hibernated