Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 6, 2020

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Wed Dec 18 18:13:00 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The president (both presidents in general and Trump in particular) rarely plays defense. But he has been able to do in both a literal and figurative sense in the House's impeahment process. And indeed, there seems to have been at least some uptick in Trump's approval rating. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 18, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There's something about contemporary American politics where it almost always helps to be on defense. There's not much of an incumbency bonus anymore; rather, it often helps to be the opposition, the out-party, the "underdog", if you will. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 18, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

But in the Senate, it's more equivocal, with Roberts presiding, McConnell setting rules, the presumed verdict being no conviction, probably a high propensity from GOP managers to sound partisan, etc. Trump will be on defense in a literal sense but maybe *not* in a figurative one. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 18, 2019 Hibernated