Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 6, 2020

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Tue Dec 17 19:10:36 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias Isn't the problem just that the Census Bureau needs to combine the San Jose-Silicon Valley MSA with SF-Oakland, especially given how their economies are now linked? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 17, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Let's check people's intuitions here. I'll reveal the answer based on our research later. A primary debate has about as much impact on the polls as ___ of ordinary campaigning*? * Ordinary campaigning excludes the impact of primaries/caucuses & candidates entering/dropping out. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 17, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@JedKolko @mattyglesias I mean I think this is one of those cases where the rules are more or less designed to codify intuitive judgment and if they aren't doing a good job of that, they're probably wrong. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 17, 2019 Hibernated