Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 6, 2020

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Tue Dec 17 16:46:09 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Are there more voters who: a) Think Trump's conduct is bad, but are turned off by impeachment? -or- b) Are on the fence about Trump, could be persuaded by more focus on his conduct AND will pay some attention to impeachment? Both groups are quite small, but maybe a close call. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 17, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm sure folks will say "It's not about impeachment. It's about Trump's conduct". Which both is and isn't true. The public *does* seem to think the conduct is bad. But they can be lukewarm on the impeachment process, and it may or may not be a good way to highlight the conduct. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 17, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The problem with the 2004 comparison is that it sort of erases Biden and Sanders, who are big trusted brand names and "next-in-line" candidates (Biden as the last Democratic VP and Bernie as 2016 runner-up). There was nobody really like them in the 2004 field. (h/t @DKarol). — PolitiTweet.org

I mention 04 a lot because it shows: 1) How dramatically a race can change in the final days/weeks before Iowa 2) H… https://t.co/gWAfKBPJLn

Posted Dec. 17, 2019 Hibernated