Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 3, 2020

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Fri Dec 13 16:58:32 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

And here's Wisconsin, for instance, a fairly interesting 4-way race. We have these for every state where there's a decent amount of polling. https://t.co/gzozkx17Ke https://t.co/gq0xVGTbLM — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 13, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Here's what the national average looks like. Note that the averages are pretty smart. We've had Biden and Sanders *very* steady for months; we think the movement you see elsewhere in their numbers is mostly noise. But it captures Warren's relatively sharp shifts up and down. https://t.co/6RIqC2OwJc — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 13, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Finally, a little explainer on how all this works. We've worked really hard on both the visualizations and math behind these. But there's more (the primary *model*, which uses our *averages* as an input) coming soon.... https://t.co/XWBbbK3aWA — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 13, 2019 Hibernated