Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 3, 2020

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Wed Dec 11 19:38:43 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@daveweigel but Michigan — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 11, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Not a lot of evidence that Buttigieg is declining in national polls. There *is* some evidence that his surge has leveled off. Per our (soon-to-be-published-officially) averages: Buttigieg's standing based on polls thru Nov. 20: 7.6% Nov. 27: 9.4% Dec. 4: 9.9% Dec. 11: 9.6% — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 11, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Iowa 2016 had a lot of elements that you might have expected to produce a big swing in national polls. It was a decent-sized upset for one thing, relative to surveys in Iowa that showed Trump ahead of Cruz. But it didn't move the needle all that much. — PolitiTweet.org

A major argument for Trump's potential vulnerability in the leadup to the 2016 nominating season was that an early… https://t.co/NywLU0rYCM

Posted Dec. 11, 2019 Hibernated