Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 3, 2020

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Wed Dec 11 16:05:52 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This is Buttigieg's first lead in New Hampshire in our average, although it's obviously not much of a lead. It's close enough that if any the top 4 won Iowa, they'd probably vault to the top. With that said, NH can produce surprises (see e.g. Clinton 2008). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 11, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

First new New Hampshire poll in a while out this morning. Updated 538 average there: Buttigieg 18.1 Sanders 17.3 Biden 15.8 Warren 13.2 Gabbard 4.9 Yang 3.9 Bloomberg 2.8 Steyer 2.8 Klobuchar 2.8 Booker 1.7 Williamson 0.5 Castro 0.3 Delaney 0.2 Bennet 0.1 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 11, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Also, I unintentionally omitted Deval Patrick in the first tweet in this thread. He's at 0.1 percent in our New Hampshire average. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 11, 2019 Hibernated