Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated Yes

Last Checked April 30, 2020

Created

Sat Dec 07 19:35:19 +0000 2019

Likes

518

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Just for fun, here's what it says what national polls look like post Iowa if Bernie wins Iowa with 25% of the vote, followed by Buttigieg (22%), Biden (17%) and Warren (13%): Sanders—27% Biden— 21% Warren—14% Buttigieg—12% — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 7, 2019 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

We've got a thing set up to anticipate how bounces from early states will affect national polls. Here's what it says the polls would look like nationally if all candidates exactly hit their current IA polls with Buttigieg winning IA Biden—21% Buttigieg—21% Sanders—15% Warren—13% — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 7, 2019 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Anyway, we'll talk more about this stuff later. But one basic intuition is that Biden would probably indeed prefer Buttigieg to win Iowa rather than Sanders/Warren, because Sanders/Warren are stronger nationally and would be more likely to knock Biden out of 1st after an IA win. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 7, 2019 Hibernated