Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 30, 2020

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Sat Dec 07 17:31:32 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@daveweigel Biden's ahead of Sanders among Latinos per The Economist/YouGov, which seems to have the largest samples for tracking these demographic subsamples. And Biden's NV polling has been pretty decent. https://t.co/4JApGxCCKx — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 7, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

That is to say, in the branch of the tree where Biden is slumping, a Biden win in SC would likely be interpreted as a "comeback" and could therefore get him some pretty favorable attention heading into Super Tuesday. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 7, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

We've got a thing set up to anticipate how bounces from early states will affect national polls. Here's what it says the polls would look like nationally if all candidates exactly hit their current IA polls with Buttigieg winning IA Biden—21% Buttigieg—21% Sanders—15% Warren—13% — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 7, 2019 Hibernated