Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 30, 2020

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Fri Dec 06 06:10:22 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So many cool little empirical discoveries about how primaries work while working on our primary model. Excited to share with y'all over the next few weeks and months. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 6, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@joshtpm IDK, I kind of think this the right strategy? Warren's clearly been hurt more than anyone else by Buttigieg's rise, to the point where it's not clear that Sanders and Biden actually have an incentive to go after him. And this is a fairly low-risk line of attack.... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 6, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One medium-sized problem I worked on today is how to project what happens when a candidate drops out. It turns out that lanes are real! You can better predict where support goes if you account for how similar the candidates are ideologically and along other dimensions. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 6, 2019 Hibernated