Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 26, 2020

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Wed Nov 27 17:52:07 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@yeselson @JamesSurowiecki I mean, one interpretation of this would be "Biden is unlikely to totally collapse". If he did, though, it might mean that Harris or Booker had surged at some point. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 27, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@yeselson To be clear, I mean his winning without almost any black support would be ugly, though it's certainly mathematically possible. More likely Buttiegieg probably would pick up some nontrivial black support eventually, though. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 27, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@yeselson @JamesSurowiecki I don't know what happens if we wind up with a race between Buttigieg and Sanders and/or Warren. A bit crazy but I actually think one or more of those candidates might name an African-American VP candidate while the race was still underway. What Obama said might matter a lot too. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 27, 2019 Hibernated